Monday, June 2, 2008

Hillary Clinton vs Barack Obama - Progressive Thinker primary predictions

Below, are my state-by-state predictions for the remaining primaries. These predictions are subject to change as we get closer to each primary. So, keep an eye on this post.

These predictions are based on data both from Real Clear Politics and U.S. Census Bureau. My predictions will likely become more accurate as more data becomes available from polls that are done in states which haven't had their primaries.

NOTE: Although I will be using Real Clear Politics as a source for poll data, my predictions may not agree with their poll averages.


West Virginia - May 13 (Updated May 14)

Hillary Clinton: 62% (actual 67%)
Barack Obama: 30% (actual 26%)
Undecided: 8%


Oregon - May 20 (Updated June 2)

Hillary Clinton: 44% (actual 41%)
Barack Obama: 49% (actual 59%)
Undecided: 7%


Kentucky - May 20 (Updated May 20 - 10:25pm)

Hillary Clinton: 54% (actual 65%)
Barack Obama: 37% (actual 30%)
Undecided: 9%


Puerto Rico - June 1 (updated June 2)

Hillary Clinton: 63% (actual 68%)
Barack Obama: 37% (actual 32%)
Undecided: 0%


Montana - June 3 (updated June 2)

Hillary Clinton: 47%
Barack Obama: 45%
Undecided: 8%


South Dakota - June 3 (updated June 2)
Hillary Clinton: 50%
Barack Obama: 44%
Undecided: 6%

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